PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 06:48 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
9%+ 47%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
25 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
454,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
71.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
8 sept. 26, 18:33 UTC27 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel Election: Unity vote share?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?
PolymarketIsrael Election: The Joint List vote share?
PolymarketIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold Markets🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
- Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
- If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? ?
- Polymarket cote 9%+ à 47% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? doit être résolu le 27 octobre 2026.
- Comment Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.