Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 54.2%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
MĂ©thodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis Ă jour il y a 5 minutes
30 août 26, 17:02 UTC13 sept. 26, 17:55 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution Criteria
- Resolve YES if the Social Democratic Party (Socialdemokraterna) receives 31.00% or more of the valid votes cast in Sweden’s 2026 Riksdag election.
- Resolve NO if the party receives less than 31.00% of the valid votes.
- Resolution will be based on the final official nationwide result published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten).
- Preliminary election-night counts, exit polls, opinion polls, projections, or media calls do not determine resolution.
- If the final official nationwide result is not available immediately after the market closes, the market will remain closed to trading but unresolved until Valmyndigheten publishes the final result.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No Ă 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election? doit être résolu le 13 septembre 2026.
- Comment 🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria