PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90.1%-1.0pt
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
188 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
7.0% / 12.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
3 déc. 25, 00:09 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In What Year will the Costco Hotdog Combo cost more than $1.50?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
KalshiCostco Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCostco Foot Traffic in September
KalshiWould Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs.
- As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs.