Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin America25j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Lula 97%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
106 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
17 août 26, 10:26 UTC4 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
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0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Limitless2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- 471,3 k €
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará ?
- Polymarket cote Lula à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2026.
- Comment Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Ceará est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.