PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 39%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
18,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
2.6%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+2.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
14 janv. 26, 0:5330 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes39%
Référence CoinRithm37%· 2 plateformes· ±2 pts
OuiNon
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Blue tsunami in 2026?
3.0%6mo
-3.0%37%
63%
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total215,3 k €
Volume 24h1,1 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$103 juil.4j de données6 juil.
Marchés Associés
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1,3 M €Gavin Newsom: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
279,5 k €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate Election Winner
126,5 k €Democrat: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
105,7 k €Ivanka Trump: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
26,5 k €At least 1%: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
6,3 k €228-232: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf