Probabilité implicite actuelle
10-13% 56.6%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
144,5 €
Liquidité
19,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+16.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
20 août 26, 18:22 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSaxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent
KalshiSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share? ?
- Polymarket cote 10-13% à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.