Probabilité implicite actuelle
Over 57%+2.5pt
Qualité du marché
35 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
39.0% / 76.0%
Écart
37.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+17.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 août 26, 18:20 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if SPD wins at least 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if SPD wins less than 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? ?
- Polymarket cote Over à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.