Probabilité implicite actuelle
Linke 82%+3.5pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
10,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
81.0% / 83.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
20 août 26, 18:17 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSaxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent
KalshiWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- 183,4 M €
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- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne? ?
- Polymarket cote Linke à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.