KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 13% 95%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 août 26, 19:00 UTC6 sept. 27, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
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Manifold MarketsBerlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Die Linke in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is Die Linke's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Saxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent ?
- Kalshi cote At least 13% à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Saxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent sera-t-il résolu ?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent doit être résolu le 6 septembre 2027.
- Comment Saxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Die Linke in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.