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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?

PolitiqueOne-OffEuropeÉlection12mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Below - 1 10.8%
En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes

2

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 heures

Obsolète
18 juin 26, 12:5718 juin 27, 21:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Below - 111%

Règles

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.

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Règles

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.