KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 5% 10%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
23 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
280 €
Faible liquiditéDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
21 août 26, 19:00 UTC6 sept. 27, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
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Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by FDP in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Free Democratic Party's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent ?
- Kalshi cote At least 5% à 10% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent sera-t-il résolu ?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent doit être résolu le 6 septembre 2027.
- Comment Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by FDP in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.