Probabilité implicite actuelle
Over 70.3%+7.0pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
318,3 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
54.0% / 87.0%
Écart
33.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 août 26, 18:20 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Berlin State Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSaxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent
KalshiBerlin State Election: 3rd Place
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? ?
- Polymarket cote Over à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.