Probabilité implicite actuelle
<17% 38.8%+11.5ptEn tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,7 k €
Liquidité
37,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 août 26, 18:21 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurMecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? ?
- Polymarket cote <17% à 39% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.