Probabilité implicite actuelle
CDU 56%+11.5ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
11,4 k €
Liquidité
136,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+17.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
8 juil. 26, 01:12 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsBosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.3pt2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 922,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 191,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 684,3 k €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+4.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 625,2 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party-1.0pt12%
- Volume total
- 28 M €
- Volume 24h
- 616,3 k €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 résultats de plus
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: 2nd Place ?
- Polymarket cote CDU à 56% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: 2nd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: 2nd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Où Berlin State Election: 2nd Place est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.