Probabilité implicite actuelle
0.5% - 0.6% 33.3%En tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
296,1 €
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
5.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
-8.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
11 août 26, 4:549 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 6,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,6 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour August Inflation China - Annual ?
- Polymarket cote 0.5% - 0.6% à 33% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand August Inflation China - Annual sera-t-il résolu ?
- August Inflation China - Annual doit être résolu le 9 septembre 2026.
- Comment August Inflation China - Annual est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.