Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 83.3%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète22 oct. 25, 08:29 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping still be the leader of China by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the US again before he dies?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiWho will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping holds the title of President of the People's Republic of China on January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The official English website of the Xinhua News Agency (English.news.cn) or other official Chinese government sources will serve as the primary reference for resolution.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Xi Jinping remains Chinese chairman by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Xi Jinping remains Chinese chairman by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Xi Jinping remains Chinese chairman by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Xi Jinping remains Chinese chairman by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria