Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?
PolitiqueOne-OffChineCriminalité et justice1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.9%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 avr. 23, 10:42 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
It is well known that Xi Jinping literally disappeared from existence (both in person and on the internet) for approximately two weeks during the runnup to the 2013 Party Congress where he would ultimately take power after reemerging from wherever he went with no explanation to this day.
- However, very shortly thereafter his primary rival for top job, Bo Xilai, was arrested and ultimately convincted of crimes largely attributed to his wife and sentenced to lifetime house arrest.
- There has long been speculation that something happened between these two that explains both Xi's disappearance and Bo's subsequent imprisionment and Xi's extensive purges of all rival factions as undisputed People's Leader.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This prediction market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2027, any of the following occurs:
- A reputable and widely recognized news organization publishes a report, based on verified and credible sources, that clearly indicates Bo Xilai's responsibility for Xi Jinping's disappearance prior to becoming president.