Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 74.3%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 nov. 23, 00:51 UTC1 janv. 28, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsHow many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Both positions, through 2027
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Both positions, through 2027