Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffIA4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.9%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète23 oct. 25, 08:47 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Which side of the AI safety community are you in? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Marchés ouverts
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
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- 9,1 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.
- Comment Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.