Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.3%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
4 janv. 24, 21:35 UTC1 mars 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2031.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.4pt97%
- Yes-0.4pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 52,2 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 4000+2.0pt99%
- Above 300099%
- Above 600061%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 870,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 922,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 k €
KALSHICyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Above 18k99%
- Above 6k99%
- Above 10k99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 32,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes+0.4pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 933,9 €
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.75%59%
- Above 45%14%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 810,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 767 €
- FDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
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- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2031.
- Comment Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2031.