Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.5%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 36 minutes
11 févr. 24, 15:03 UTC1 mars 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves as YES we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer.
- In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
- Discovery of alien life questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
