Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueLatin America3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.7%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète5 janv. 26, 16:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the USA controls Venezuela by December 31, 2026. "Control" is defined as the Trump administration's stated objective of running the country until a political transition occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by whether the US maintains effective administrative and military control over Venezuelan territory and governance, as evidenced by:
- Continued US military presence and operational authority in Venezuela
- US direction of Venezuelan government functions and policy
- US control over Venezuelan oil infrastructure and resource extraction
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria