🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineAmérique latineCriminalité et justiceIAGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellecall someone retarded through text or speech 100%En tête parmi 201 options
Prévisionnistes
387
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète13 août 25, 02:48 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold Markets🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence
- They can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on
- In the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough
- Will make a poll for individual options if unsure
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not.
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count.
