Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan?
Politique américaineOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète6 juil. 26, 04:16 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under the 2023 peace proposal?
Manifold MarketsWould Trump let AI wipe out humanity? (2030)
Manifold MarketsAt the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsUkraine Control of Melitopol at End of 2023? (No) → Ukraine Joins EU Before 2030
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Under the 28-point peace plan devised by the United States in November 2025:
- Russia would have withdrawn from Kharkiv Oblast, Sumy Oblast and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast;
- Ukraine would have withdrawn from Donetsk Oblast and Lugansk Oblast; and
- control of Kherson Oblast and Zaporozhye Oblast would have been 'frozen' along the line of contact.
- At the end of November 2025, Russia controlled approximately 20,522 square kilometres of Kherson Oblast and approximately 20,336 square kilometres of Zaporozhye Oblast.
- Resolution criteria
