Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / Ukraine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète6 juil. 26, 04:16 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold MarketsWill the US sign a peace agreement based on Iran's 14-point plan before September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Spain lose any territory before 01/01/2030? (Either land or territorial waters)
Manifold MarketsWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Under the 28-point peace plan devised by the United States in November 2025:
- Russia would have withdrawn from Kharkiv Oblast, Sumy Oblast and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast;
- Ukraine would have withdrawn from Donetsk Oblast and Lugansk Oblast; and
- control of Kherson Oblast and Zaporozhye Oblast would have been 'frozen' along the line of contact.
- At the end of November 2025, Russia controlled approximately 20,522 square kilometres of Kherson Oblast and approximately 20,336 square kilometres of Zaporozhye Oblast.
- Resolution criteria
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Under the 28-point peace plan devised by the United States in November 2025: