Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard24 oct. 25, 21:51 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsNate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWhite House # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Trump tears down 90% or more of the original building as it stood at the end of Joseph Biden's term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If Trump rebuilds a lookalike with modern wiring and plumbing this still resolves YES.