Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète14 nov. 24, 03:41 UTC21 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
Manifold MarketsWil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
KalshiWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?
FutuurRègles
Resolves yes if he formally pardons himself.
- No if he doesn't.
- Update 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump formally pardons himself but the pardon is later found unconstitutional, the market will still resolve Yes.
- Resolution is based on the action of pardoning, not the legality or validity of the pardon.
