Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 66.7%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 25, 13:45 UTC20 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.
- Political violence against opponents of the President is a commonly used tactic for authoritarian capture.
- Will Trump do this?
- What counts: pardoning assassination attempt, attacking opposing protestors, etc., attacks on Republicans by far-right individuals will also count
- The violence must occur during the second term.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Wil Trump pardon political violence that occurs during his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Democracy observers worry that pardoning J6 insurrectionists incentivizes future political violence, because it signals that Donald Trump might shield them from legal consequences.