Prévision communautaire actuelle
Any Trump family member 80.3%En tête parmi 16 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète3 déc. 25, 17:09 UTC21 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon or commute SBF's sentence?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump pardon?
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FutuurWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRègles
Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power
- Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025).
- The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.
- Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Any Trump family member à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment [Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power