Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.4%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
18 avr. 26, 01:31 UTC21 janv. 29, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump make IVF free?
KalshiWill Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
Manifold MarketsWhat changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This will resolve YES if Cuba becomes an American territory, protectorate, state, or similar possession before the end of Trump’s term.
- Even if Trump doesn’t finish his term, the end date will not change and will resolve YES if Trump’s successor proceeds to make Cuba an American territory.