Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard14 mars 26, 07:32 UTC1 févr. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWhich states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (11/7-11/13)
KalshiWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.