Will TPS for Venezuelans be back in effect in the U.S. before January 1, 2027?
One-OffPolitique américaineAmérique latine1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.5%
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 nov. 26, 04:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Venezuela is back in effect in the United States — deportation protections and employment authorization restored through a court decision or a DHS action — at any time before January 1, 2027.
- Resolves NO if January 1, 2027 arrives without Venezuelan TPS having returned to effect.
- Context: on October 30, 2026, a Ninth Circuit panel denied the government's request to extend the stay of the ruling favorable to TPS beneficiaries; if the Supreme Court does not intervene, that ruling would take effect on November 6, 2026.
