Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55.6%
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24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète13 mars 24, 09:26 UTC1 juil. 28, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRègles
https://x.com/growing_daniel/status/1767648144848773538
- That is, extropic AI will seem to be on the Theranos path.
- [image]the essential claimed innovation never existed or was never feasible at all.
- It doesn't have to be criminal.
- i.e. they don't have to have faked tests etc but they must have been promoting something which was nothing more than hype, no actual existing technical innovation at all.
- Similarly to how there are zero companies following on Theranos's work, since there was nothing just hope.