Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.6%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète19 mai 26, 11:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
I expect this will be fairly easy to resolve in one way or the other, but for a case to count it must be caught on US soil.
- If we bring people into the country who are already sick, that doesn't count.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 20,4 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 919 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2 k €
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k+0.1pt100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+3.0pt61%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 866,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 611,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I expect this will be fairly easy to resolve in one way or the other, but for a case to count it must be caught on US soil.