Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionCrime & Justice3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 84.2%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 sept. 26, 15:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if, between November 3, 2026, and January 31, 2027, inclusive, at least one of the following conditions is met:
- Formal Lawsuits: A candidate for U.S. Senate, U.S. House of Representatives, or Governor in the 2026 midterm elections, or a major national political party committee (such as the DNC or RNC, or their state-level equivalents), files a lawsuit in a state or federal court alleging systemic, widespread, or outcome-altering election fraud, voter fraud, or election rigging in a 2026 midterm race.
- (Standard recount petitions or procedural challenges regarding ballot-counting rules that do not explicitly allege fraud or rigging do not qualify.)
- Refusal to Concede with Fraud Claims: At least one major-party candidate (Democrat or Republican) for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, or Governor refuses to concede their election for at least 14 days after Election Day (November 3, 2026) while publicly alleging that election or voter fraud altered the outcome.
- Official Investigations: A state Attorney General, state election board, or federal agency (such as the Department of Justice) officially announces a formal investigation into allegations of outcome-altering or widespread fraud in a 2026 midterm race.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 84% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria