Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.2%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 26, 12:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsAssassination attempt on anyone who has had their security detail pulled by Trump by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill David Baszucki die of assassination?
Manifold MarketsRègles
HI READERS HOW ARE YOU FINE ME TOO HAHAHAHAHA
Marchés ouverts
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : HI READERS HOW ARE YOU FINE ME TOO HAHAHAHAHA