Will There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
One-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justicePolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
6 févr. 24, 01:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
PolymarketWill there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?
KalshiWill there be a successful application of diffusion-like weight modification in LLMs before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill RFK Jr. be impeached before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsRFK Jr. Out by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
Description: This market is created to gauge predictions on a very sensitive subject: whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent public figure, will be the target of a successful assassination before the end of December 31, 2026.
- This topic is approached with the highest level of sensitivity and seriousness.
- The intention behind this market is to explore concerns about the safety of significant political figures in today's complex societal landscape, not to sensationalize or trivialize such a grave subject.
- Market participants are strongly encouraged to engage with this subject matter respectfully and ethically, understanding the potential impact of their speculation.
- Rules and Conditions:
- The resolution of this market hinges on confirmed and widely reported instances of a successful assassination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., as reported by reputable and credible news organizations or confirmed by official law enforcement or government statements.