Will there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
One-OffPolitique américaineMétéoSociété et culture1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard9 janv. 26, 11:19 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Greenland's population increases by at least 10% from its current level (approximately 56,000) within 1 year of Trump mentioning to offer direct monetary payments to inhabitants.
- Resolution will be determined by official population statistics from Statistics Greenland or the World Bank.
- If no formal offer of per-capita payments is made, the market resolves N/A. The Trump administration is considering paying each Greenland resident thousands of dollars as part of a bid to encourage the territory to secede from Denmark and join the United States, with U.S. officials discussing payment figures ranging from $10,000 to $100,000.
- Greenland's current population is approximately 56,000, and the country reached its peak population of 56,935 in 2005, after which population levels began to decline.
