Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 62.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète9 août 24, 02:54 UTC1 févr. 36, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)?
Manifold MarketsWill there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Tesla produces a million Optimus robots by 2035.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035? doit être résolu le 1 février 2036.
- Comment Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Tesla produces a million Optimus robots by 2035.