Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 66.8%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 26, 01:30 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
Large meaning more than 1-10 people and Violent meaning getting in armed conflict with ICE officers ( Firearms, Weapons etc).
- Unarmed conflict can be counted as well, but it must result in great bodily harm to be considered serious, Vehicles may also be considered (ie ICE hitting protesters or protesters hitting ICE with a car) In general something large enough to make national news.
- Simple violence like pushing, spitting, slapping and one off small scale instances of punching, etc will not be counted
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026 that meets the following criteria:
- Scale: Involves more than 10 people
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Large meaning more than 1-10 people and Violent meaning getting in armed conflict with ICE officers ( Firearms, Weapons etc).