Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.2%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète30 janv. 24, 00:29 UTC31 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
Manifold MarketsWill there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRègles
Will resolve primarily using https://www.howmanypeopleareinspacerightnow.com/
- If there are websites errors or any other type of doubtful result, more direct sources will be used to estimate the number of alive people in space.
