Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.6%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 25, 05:24 UTC15 janv. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's AI1 orbital data center be operational?
Manifold MarketsWill there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Inspired by:
- [tweet]Does not include compute solely in support of normal satellite activities like communication or imaging.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "compute":
- Current satellite edge computing (e.g., Starlink's onboard processing for communications) does not count toward the 1GW threshold
- Only orbital data centers count - facilities where:
- The customer is indifferent about the data center's location (aside from price)
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2032.
- Comment Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Inspired by: