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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 25, 05:24 UTC15 janv. 32, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's AI1 orbital data center be operational?
Manifold MarketsWill any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsLouisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketIndiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Inspired by:
- [tweet]Does not include compute solely in support of normal satellite activities like communication or imaging.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "compute":
- Current satellite edge computing (e.g., Starlink's onboard processing for communications) does not count toward the 1GW threshold
- Only orbital data centers count - facilities where:
- The customer is indifferent about the data center's location (aside from price)
