Will the US seize the Punta Cardón oil refinery in 2026?
Politique américaineMatières premièresOne-OffAmérique latine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 08:06 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United States of America militarily seizes the Cardón Refinery in Punta Cardón, Venezuela.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 04:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
- Clarifications
- I will not trade in this market.