Will the US implement a policy for rapid shutdown of large compute clusters and training runs by 2028?
IAOne-OffRégulationTech2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.5%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète28 avr. 23, 13:56 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that requires the implementation of rapid shutdown mechanisms for large compute clusters and training runs.
- These mechanisms could include non-networked power cutoff switches for large compute clusters or remote shutdown systems on chips, with the goal of enabling swift response in emergency situations.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
