Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffUS Politics1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 18:53 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, the United States government (including federal agencies) takes functional control of Anthropic PBC or its successor entities.
- Functional control is defined as the government assuming direct management, operational control, or the power to override the board of directors and executive leadership regarding core business decisions, development, or deployment of AI models.
- This includes, but is not limited to:
- An official government takeover, nationalization, or eminent domain acquisition of the company.
- A court-ordered receivership or government-mandated management replacement resulting in direct federal control.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria