Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.4%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 sept. 26, 21:02 UTC15 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
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PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates show a value of 5.25 or greater in the "10 Yr" column for any business day from 2026-09-18 through 2026-11-13 inclusive.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Source (sole oracle): https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve
- Only the published closing par yield counts.
- Intraday prints do not count.
- Read the 10 Yr column specifically.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 459,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 k €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026? doit être résolu le 15 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates show a value of 5.25 or greater in the "10 Yr" column for any business day from 2026-09-18 through 2026-11-13 inclusive.