Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?
IAOne-OffCriminalité et justice2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.9%
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5
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 déc. 23, 17:44 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?
Manifold MarketsNew York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
KalshiWhat will be the outcome of the EEOC suit against the NYT?
Manifold MarketsOn what day will the New York Times (NYT) project the winner of the House for the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhat will New York Times say during their next earnings call?
KalshiWill the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.
- Should that happen, it is likely that a precedent will be set that prevents other companies from including articles from any newspaper in their training data.
- At the same time, it will be impossible to enforce such a provision against open source models, some of which will have anonymous authors.
- Effective altruists like @EliezerYudkowsky have often criticized open source AI as dangerous and believe that limitations on the distribution of model architectures and weights are preferable.
- This market resolves to YES if:
- The lawsuit is decided in the New York Times' favor, either by judgment or by settlement
