Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.4%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 18:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of the Green Party of England and Wales going into the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
KalshiZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%.
- Will that rise continue?
- Resolves YES if Greens rises to and then stays at or above 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December).
- Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%.