Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
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Données au 24 oct. 2026, 19:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 59%
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Type de question
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Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 25, 18:27 UTC31 déc. 27, 19:22 UTC
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This resolves “Yes” if the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit issues a decision in Kalshiex LLC v.
- Martin et al.
- (No. 25-1892) that grants Kalshi the relief it seeks on appeal (e.g., reverses or vacates the district court’s denial of injunctive relief or otherwise rules in Kalshi’s favor). “No” if the Fourth Circuit affirms the district court or dismisses the appeal without granting Kalshi relief.
- Published or unpublished opinions count.
- If the appeal is dismissed (including voluntarily) without relief to Kalshi, resolves “No.” Sources for resolution: Fourth Circuit opinions page and the case docket.
