Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.8%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
12 févr. 26, 16:23 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill New York win their suit against Kalshi?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsKalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing.
- Doesn’t need to literally be blackjack, just any physical “trading floor” open to the public.
- See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-02-10/bond-trading-gets-cheaper