Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore Jan 2028 50%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète7 déc. 25, 22:01 UTC1 févr. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Polymarket generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsWill a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWaymo generally available in London when?
Manifold MarketsRobinhood funded customers in 2026
KalshiNu Holdings customers in 2026
KalshiChewy active customers in Q2
KalshiRègles
Kalshi: The core Kalshi app, or a version of it with access to substantially the same features and markets
- Generally available: Can use it with no VPN, no betas, waitlists, etc; age restrictions and general gambling KYC type restrictions are fine
- Timezone: Europe/London
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,4 k €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before Jan 2028 à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.
- Comment Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Kalshi: The core Kalshi app, or a version of it with access to substantially the same features and markets